Invesco

Best Blogs of the Week #238

We have a return to semi-normalcy in the industry’s blogs. While there’s still considerable discussion on Britain, the pound and Euro-implications; many posts returned to regular programming.

Franklin Templeton – What an (Economic) Drag It Is Getting Old – The world is getting older (much older in some geographies), and to us this is without question becoming a meaningful drag on economic growth—one that will likely persist into the future.

InvescoHow much is a stock worth? There’s more to valuation than simple P/E ratios – First, low yields are driving investment decisions and creating flows into fixed income securities and fixed income substitutes – namely, dividend-paying stocks like utilities.

Franklin Templeton (Britain Included)

Best Blogs of the Week (SPECIAL – BREXIT III – FINAL EDITION)

This will be the final issue related to Brexit. Less than one week later, the US equity markets (as measured by the S&P 500) returned to pre-Brexit levels. In fact the S&P 500 index is nearly at its 52-week high (off by 42 points, or 1%). In this issue, we’ll return to our standard format of highlight the best (Brexit) blog posts and not inventorying posts.

BlackRockWhere to find opportunities in a post-Brexit world – The big takeaway for those seeking to buy into market weakness: Be wary of buying notionally cheap assets that face challenges…

Franklin TempletonBrexit: “I Have Confidence in Confidence Alone” – In my view,  a real risk of political impasse and a lack of direction will be a further element of negative confidence.

Franklin TempletonBrexit: Serious Consequences, but “Not the End of the World” –  I expect financials and domestically oriented cyclical stocks to be the hardest-hit areas of the equity market within the United Kingdom and the EU

InvescoHas the Brexit sell-off created an entry point? – These attributes give the Invesco International Companies Fund team a high degree of confidence in our belief that the UK will enjoy long-term economic success outside of the European Union.

Three quick learnings from following the industry’s BREXIT coverage.

  1. Many firms were caught flat-footed expecting a “Remain” vote and readying nothing substantive by the 23rd June. This reflected very poorly on these firms as their institutional and intermediary clients looked for a point of view and found nothing (or something highly superficial).
  2. Creating a cross-functional internal team (Sales, Marketing, PR) to create an execution plan for something that may not occur is simply not in the DNA for most asset managers. Teams are already resource-constrained and thus shifting 100 team hours from business as usual to a Brexit planning effort is a tough decision to make.
  3. The best Brexit blog posts provide a clear point of view. Messages such as “we’ll not panic” or “we encourage our advisors to plan for risk related to geo-political issues” were few and far between. Instead there was too much news regurgitation.

Brexit BlackRock

Courtesy Mike Steele, BREXIT

Best Blogs of the Week (SPECIAL – BREXIT II)

Shocking the capital markets globally, the referendum to leave the EU passed. BREXIT. Asset managers were ready with comment. The proceeding table aggregates industry blog posts on Friday (only). This is an impressive volume (e-mail me if you’re seeking a perspective on quality) though as you see very little thought went to titling these posts. Of the titles below, BlackRock and WisdomTree clearly put thought into their respective titles.

Asset Manager Blog Post
American Century Our Views on the Brexit Vote
BlackRock What data can tell us about the Brexit vote

5 key takeaways from the Brexit vote

Fenimore Brexit & The value of patience
Franklin Templeton In The Know: The UK Votes to Leave the EU

Brexit: How Quickly May the Surprise Wear Off?

A Global Macro View of Brexit Implications

Invesco UK votes for ‘Brexit’

Beyond Brexit: What happens next?

M & G Bond market reaction to UK “Leave” vote
MFS Brexit Rattles the Market
Natixis Brexit Interviews: Implications of the vote

Brexit Vote: The New Unknowns

PIMCO Brexit: Initial Impact and the Road Ahead

Brexit’s Impact on the Eurozone

 TIAA Response to Brexit requires long-term perspective – UPDATED
Wells Fargo Brexit: Buy the dip, or wait?

Brexit vote sends shock waves through markets

William Blair Brexit Update: Our Base Case Scenario
WisdomTree Sterling’s Structural vs. Euro’s Political Weakness: “Brexit” Opens Opportunities

 

Best Blogs of the Week #232

Two posts this week to review. Both posts discuss an investing topic; one related to timing and the other to an asset class.

InvescoAre there ‘good months’ and ‘bad months’ to invest? – In 2008, at the depth of the global financial crisis, equity investors fled for the exits, but it wasn’t until 2013 that investors put meaningful amounts of capital back into the stock market. As a result, many of them missed the market’s turnaround, which started in 2009, and bought back in after stocks had risen. (In other words, they sold low and bought higher).

WisdomTree – Global Small-Cap Dividends Crushing It in 2016 – The real question, of course, is how this happened, with a secondary issue focusing on the potential robustness of those drivers looking into the future.

WisdomeTree Attribution

Best Blogs of the Week #220

Three posts in our 220th edition related to industry blogs. Two viewpoints on a similar topic; which is very exciting (to us).

ABHigh Yield: Could the 2008 Crisis Repeat Itself? – We understand why investors are concerned. Memories of the global financial crisis are still fresh in all of our minds, and sharp sell-offs like the one high yield has endured are never pleasant. But in our view, the recent turmoil simply doesn’t compare to what happened in 2008.

Franklin Templeton – This is Not 2008 – In our assessment, market fears of deflation are unwarranted. The decline in headline inflation has been driven by the collapse in oil prices, yet core inflation has been positive and stable.

InvescoPresident’s budget retirement proposals: Few new, many repeats – While most ideas are repeats from past budgets, some of which have been slightly tweaked, several new provisions debuted this year.