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PIMCO Makes Changes to BOND

Last week PIMCO announced changes (PDF) to its flagship Total Return active ETF, BOND. The gist: different investment focus to meet changing investor needs, new management team, same ticker.

I had a quick comment in the Ignites story (subscription required) on the change in which another observer stated that the appropriate move for PIMCO in this case is to launch another product, not tweak BOND. I find the move interesting enough that I thought to cover a few more things. So, three points each on two topics:

What’s Important About the Context Surrounding the Change?

  1. BOND is roughly $2 billion in assets. Not to minimize those assets, but they’re small relative to the whole of the Total Return strategy (75B+ in the mutual fund alone) and the firm’s $1.5 trillion in AUM.
  2. In general, active ETFs have not taken off as some have hoped. It’s difficult to project that PIMCO’s changes to BOND put a significant short or mid-term influx of assets at risk.
  3. Positioning the move as being grounded in the changing needs of investors is (a) appealing given the nature of today’s bond market, and (b) credible given that PIMCO is altering a product that has performed well, not poorly.

So Why Might This be Worth Doing?

  1. The Total Return strategy has been on the defensive since the fallout from Bill Gross’s departure. At least for the ETF this move enables PIMCO to focus on client needs and the new (and strong) team as part of a more positive conversation.
  2. Transitioning an existing product avoids adding another active ETF into an already-crowded ETF market and one that (again) has not been overly conducive to active funds.
  3. The scale of the assets involved makes this a potentially-appealing learning exercise from a strategic standpoint. PIMCO can mine the implications of pivoting existing ETF offerings, recasting the messaging for Total Return, and the like. (I realize this is far-fetched but the move has me thinking about adopting the regular reinvention strategy of Chicago’s famous Next restaurant for an ETF.)

There are so many nuances to consider. Even the fact that the ticker symbol is unchanged has implications. After all, if people know only one thing about active ETFs, fixed income ETFs, and PIMCO ETFs, the BOND ticker is probably it. Will the ticker being the same undermine efforts to communicate the changes?

It will be interesting and fun to see how this ultimately plays out.

Twitter by the Numbers

In 2016, there are very few, nearing zero, asset managers without a Twitter account. We follow over 100 asset managers and similar to most users we scan through their tweets at idle moments and occasionally click-through to interesting topics. Given the prevalence and long-standing presence (7+ years in some cases) of Twitter across the industry, a basic question comes to mind: are firms gaining larger Twitter followings? I’ve studied a small set of firms over the last year and arrived at three takeaways. But first, the data.

Twitter Data

For instance, MFS increased daily tweets by 80% and saw a 66% positive change in followers.

Takeaways from this analysis:

  1. Nobody has fewer followers than last year, supporting the notion that Twitter (and perhaps all social media tools) has become more valuable for asset managers. Even the three firms that tweet less than they did a year ago have increased followership.
  2. The industry has not settled on a “normal” amount of activity. Different firms are experimenting with volume ranging from every other day (Deutsche Asset and Wealth Management at 0.6 tweets per day) to every four hours (PIMCO at 6.3).
  3. In this 13-firm sample, there’s weak correlation between increased activity (via daily tweets) and increased followership. We have no clustering around the trend line.

Note: PIMCO was excluded from the chart for scaling purposes. PIMCO increased Twitter activity by 1,475% and experienced 12% growth in followers.

The Top 3 Videos of 2016 (So Far)

Over the past few weeks I’ve spent A LOT of time looking at asset managers’ video content. I learned many things, but the most fun question to consider is a simple one: which videos are the best?

Below is a wholly subjective Top 3 list based on content posted to the YouTube catalogs of 25 firms since the start of 2016. Before we get there, a few quick thoughts:

  • There is a high-degree of sameness. Lots of talking heads covering lots of the same issues in similar formats. In fairness it’s not all that easy to be truly original with video in this industry.
  • Scripts are limiting. Having non-actors who are required to stick to a tight script is often a detriment in terms of being able to connect with presenters. Looser presentations have a little more snap to them.
  • Nothing is viral. It seems 98% of the video have view counts in the three figures (or less).
  • Production values are universally strong. Firms have mastered incorporating different angles, music, graphics, quick edits, and more.

That said, let’s get to the top 3…

3. Janus: Denver Pride Fest

So many firms have videos that TELL you about their culture. Voiceovers, brief looks at people in the office in various settings, you know the drill. This clip succeeds where those fall short – it SHOWS genuine aspects of the Janus culture. The video is only viewable on YouTube so click here or the image below to watch.

Janus

2. PIMCO: Asset Allocation for Equities in 2016

Over 25 seconds PIMCO uses one question, two statements, and two simple graphics to deliver its fundamental guidance on how the equity markets will go over the course of the year. No long-winded speeches, no multi-page paper… just a direct and clear message.

1. Schroders: Hidden Talent – Muy Thai

I am not sure how many topics would be more unexpected than Muy Thai in a video from an asset manager.

Courtesy Mike Steele, BREXIT

Best Blogs of the Week (SPECIAL – BREXIT II)

Shocking the capital markets globally, the referendum to leave the EU passed. BREXIT. Asset managers were ready with comment. The proceeding table aggregates industry blog posts on Friday (only). This is an impressive volume (e-mail me if you’re seeking a perspective on quality) though as you see very little thought went to titling these posts. Of the titles below, BlackRock and WisdomTree clearly put thought into their respective titles.

Asset Manager Blog Post
American Century Our Views on the Brexit Vote
BlackRock What data can tell us about the Brexit vote

5 key takeaways from the Brexit vote

Fenimore Brexit & The value of patience
Franklin Templeton In The Know: The UK Votes to Leave the EU

Brexit: How Quickly May the Surprise Wear Off?

A Global Macro View of Brexit Implications

Invesco UK votes for ‘Brexit’

Beyond Brexit: What happens next?

M & G Bond market reaction to UK “Leave” vote
MFS Brexit Rattles the Market
Natixis Brexit Interviews: Implications of the vote

Brexit Vote: The New Unknowns

PIMCO Brexit: Initial Impact and the Road Ahead

Brexit’s Impact on the Eurozone

 TIAA Response to Brexit requires long-term perspective – UPDATED
Wells Fargo Brexit: Buy the dip, or wait?

Brexit vote sends shock waves through markets

William Blair Brexit Update: Our Base Case Scenario
WisdomTree Sterling’s Structural vs. Euro’s Political Weakness: “Brexit” Opens Opportunities

 

Best Blogs of the Week #231

Three posts make it into this week’s industry review. I’m noticing a trend across investment-oriented blog posts: stay invested in the equity market. There’s broad consensus across PM teams within asset managers to remain in equities and that no sharp decline looms. Time will tell.

ABDizzy over Dividends – US companies that offer high dividends are very popular among equity investors today. Shares of these companies are trading near record high valuations…

PIMCOHow to Play the Brexit Blues – Although our base case is that the UK votes to remain, we devote much time to thinking about the implications of a vote to leave. Of the two competing views on this ‒ that it will be a globally systemic event or that, while important for the UK, its impact on global markets will be contained ‒ we side with the latter.

WisdomTreeIncreasing Net Buybacks with a Quality Approach –  Assuming no growth and no change in valuations going forward, an investor could expect to earn the combined dividend and net buyback yield, currently higher than the zero some prognosticators are predicting.

WisdomTree. Invested.